Sunday, August 29, 2010

21Z Tropcial Update-Danielle


HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST 12
TROPICAL FORECAST CENTER
5:28 PM EDT SUNDAY AUGUST 29, 2010

AT 5:00 PM EDT/2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIELLE IS LOCATED NEAR 38.0 N 54.5 W OR 605 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE RACE. DANIELLE IS RACING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 80 MPH AND FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AND DANIELLE WILL BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY WEDNESDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB/28.85 IN.

DANIELLE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...WHILE DVORAK ESTIMATES SUGGEST THAT DANIELLE IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM...WILL KEEP DANIELLE A 70 KT HURRICANE FOR NOW. ON SATELLITE DANIELLE/S CENTER HAVE BEEN EXPOSED AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO COOLER WATER AND WILL BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM IN ABOUT 72 HOURS OR SOONER.

INITIAL MOTION 025/22 KTS. DANIELLE WILL SLOW DOWN TEMPORARILY ON MONDAY BEFORE BEING PICKED UP AGAIN BY THE WESTERLIES AND THIS IS AN UPDATE TO THE FORECAST AND MOVING DANIELLE FURTHER EASTWARD. CURRENT FORECAST KEEPS DANIELLE AWAY FROM NOVA SCOTIA.

NOTE: BECAUSE THE MAPS I HAVE DO NOT GO NORTH OF 40W WILL NOT INCLUDE MAP FOR REST OF DANIELLE/S LIFE...WILL JUST USE SATELLITE PICTURE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:

29/21Z 38.0 N 54.5 W 70 KTS
30/09Z 39.8 N 52.5 W 60 KTS
30/21Z 41.7 N 48.5 W 50 KTS
31/09Z 43.4 N 40.6 W 35 KTS
31/21Z 44.7 N 34.3 W 30 KTS...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
01/21Z 48.5 N 24.0 W 20 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL

JACKSON

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