Sunday, August 29, 2010

03Z Tropical Update-Danielle


HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST 13
TROPICAL FORECAST CENTER
11:11 PM EDT SUNDAY AUGUST 29, 2010

AT 11:00 PM EDT/0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIELLE IS LOCATED NEAR 39.3 N 53.0 W OR 510 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE RACE. DANIELLE IS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH AND FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AND DANIELLE WILL BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB/28.94 IN.

DANIELLE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND MAY BE IN THE BEGINNING PHRASES OF BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL AS ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION FROM DANIELLE IS GONE AND THE CENTER TOTALLY EXPOSED. WITH THAT IN MIND...INITIAL INTENSITY IS STILL 70 KTS. DANIELLE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS SHE CONTINUES THE EXTRATROPICAL PHRASE WHICH SHOULD BE COMPLETE IN ABOUT 36 HOURS.

INITIAL MOTION 045/14 KTS. DANIELLE HAS SLOWED A BIT AND WILL CONTINUE AT THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH MONDAY WHEN DANIELLE WILL INCREASE HER FORWARD SPEED AND GET PICKED UP BY THE WESTERLIES. FORECAST TRACK IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.

WITH DANIELLE BEGINNING HER PHRASE INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM...THIS WILL BE THE LAST FORECAST ISSUED ON DANIELLE FROM THE TROPICAL FORECAST CENTER. FOR OFFICIAL FORECASTS...YOU CAN GO TO THE NHC FORECAST SITE AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV (ALL LOWERCASE LETTERS).

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:

30/03Z 39.3 N 53.0 W 70 KTS
30/15Z 41.0 N 52.9 W 55 KTS
31/03Z 42.7 N 45.5 W 45 KTS...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
31/15Z 44.2 N 38.1 W 35 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
01/03Z 45.5 N 30.6 W 30 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL

JACKSON

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