Friday, May 21, 2010

1500Z Tropical Update


TROPICAL OUTLOOK
TROPICAL FORECAST CENTER
11:14 AM EDT FRIDAY MAY 21, 2010

We have our first area of tropical activity of the season...though not expected to develop. Weak area of showers and thunderstorms west of the Bahamas moving slowly to the northwest. Upper level winds are not favorable for any development at this time...but will continue to be monitored.

Elsewhere...tropical storm activity is not expected within the next 36 hours.

June 1 is the start of the Atlantic hurricane season and I/m expecting it to be a very active season. My current forecast calls for 16 named storms...with 9 of these storms to become hurricane and 4 major hurricanes. The increased in activity is expected due to the continued weakening of El Nino and warmer than normal sea surface temperatures.

JACKSON

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