Tropical Storm Grace
At 9:00 AM EDT (1300Z)...the center of Tropical Storm Grace is located near 44.0 N 17.2 W. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph...weakening is expected and Grace will be absorbed by a larger non-tropical system by tonight or Tuesday. Movement is to the northeast at 31 mph and this motion is expected to continue with a decrease in forward speed. Estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb/29.23 in.
Grace despite moving into 20 C sea surface temperatures is looking well organized as. While ADT numbers suggest that winds could now be as low as 45 kts...Grace is still showing a eye like feature on satellite...there have kept winds at 55 kts. Grace will not be around much longer as she will not be able to maintain herself as she continues to move into even further cooler water temperatures...and she will easily be absorbed by a larger non-tropical system within the next 36 hours. Initial motion is 035/27 kts. I/m fully expecting that this motion will continue with some decrease in forward speed until Grace is absorbed.
Forecast Position and Intensity:
05/13Z 44.0 N 17.2 W 55 kts
06/01Z 47.6 N 14.7 W 45 kts
06/13Z 50.1 N 10.9 W 30 kts
07/01Z Absorbed by non-tropical low
Byron Jackson
Tropical Specialist
Monday, October 5, 2009
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